It looks like it's going to rain.

Is there any difference in the meaning between 2 sentences?

  1. It’s going to rain.
  2. It looks like it’s going to rain.

The first sentence carries more certanity than the second.

“It looks like it’s going to rain.”
In this sentence, is ‘like’ a conjunction?

Yes.
oald8.oxfordlearnersdictionaries … ary/like_3
definition 2 ‘as if’